Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.001436 0.001530 0.001626 0.001733 0.001848 0.001969 0.002106
2024-10-06 0.001298 0.001425 0.001561 0.001718 0.001894 0.002085 0.002310
2024-10-13 0.001206 0.001356 0.001521 0.001717 0.001944 0.002200 0.002510
2024-10-20 0.001112 0.001275 0.001459 0.001682 0.001948 0.002254 0.002637
2024-10-27 0.001051 0.001226 0.001427 0.001677 0.001981 0.002340 0.002801
2024-11-03 0.000972 0.001150 0.001358 0.001621 0.001947 0.002340 0.002857
2024-11-10 0.000939 0.001126 0.001349 0.001636 0.001998 0.002445 0.003045
2024-11-17 0.000895 0.001087 0.001318 0.001620 0.002009 0.002498 0.003167
2024-11-24 0.000869 0.001068 0.001312 0.001635 0.002057 0.002598 0.003353
2024-12-01 0.000827 0.001027 0.001274 0.001606 0.002048 0.002621 0.003436
2024-12-08 0.000794 0.000995 0.001248 0.001591 0.002054 0.002664 0.003546
2024-12-15 0.000764 0.000966 0.001223 0.001576 0.002058 0.002704 0.003653
2024-12-22 0.000739 0.000945 0.001209 0.001579 0.002092 0.002791 0.003839
2024-12-29 0.000709 0.000916 0.001185 0.001567 0.002104 0.002848 0.003986
2025-01-05 0.000687 0.000896 0.001171 0.001566 0.002132 0.002929 0.004172
2025-01-12 0.000654 0.000861 0.001135 0.001535 0.002114 0.002942 0.004255
2025-01-19 0.000633 0.000841 0.001120 0.001530 0.002134 0.003011 0.004425
2025-01-26 0.000598 0.000800 0.001073 0.001480 0.002084 0.002972 0.004426
2025-02-02 0.000587 0.000791 0.001071 0.001493 0.002129 0.003078 0.004660
2025-02-09 0.000567 0.000770 0.001052 0.001480 0.002132 0.003120 0.004792
2025-02-16 0.000557 0.000762 0.001050 0.001493 0.002176 0.003226 0.005036
2025-02-23 0.000535 0.000738 0.001024 0.001467 0.002159 0.003235 0.005117
2025-03-02 0.000519 0.000720 0.001006 0.001453 0.002160 0.003272 0.005246